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08.04.2019 04:34 PM
Euro: Disappointing weekly forecast. Caution first!

The euro continues to experience difficulties, plunging almost at the level of the monthly minimum. Investors need to be more careful about the forecast for the currency at least before the ECB meeting this week. Statistics show that traders are actively reducing long positions in euros, while the yield on major European bonds has shifted to negative territory. Moreover, the PMI data showed that the eurozone economy is trying to gain momentum. Currently, there is increasing skepticism in the market regarding the euro, as the expectations of a rise in the ECB rate have changed and there are no clear deadlines in the foreseeable future. That is why, even though at the beginning of the day, the single currency was slightly higher than the greenback at the level of 1.1228, it will remain within the monthly minimum of 1.1183 dollars reached last week.

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Risk appetite in foreign exchange markets as a whole has weakened due to the strengthening of the yen and the fall of the Australian dollar, as concerns about the prospects for the world economy have negatively affected sentiment. The dollar is under pressure from the decline in the yield of US Treasury bonds. The American started the week with losses against the yen minus 0.3 percent to 111.385 yen after a brief rise to a three-week maximum of 111.825 yen on Friday after a positive report on the US labor market. The Australian dollar fell by 0.1 percent to $ 0.7095, after the cost of copper declined. The pound held around a weekly low as France and the Netherlands expressed doubts about the further postponement of Brexit.

Irina Maksimova,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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