empty
23.03.2023 04:56 AM
Forecast for EUR/USD on March 23, 2023

Yesterday, the Federal Reserve raised the benchmark rate by 0.25% to 5.00%, as expected by most market participants. Now the markets are pricing in a 60% chance the Fed raises its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points in May as well. The FOMC members themselves expect the rate to be 5.1% by the end of the year and 4.3% at the end of 2024, raising it from the previous 4.1%. But market participants, following the mainstream belief of "don't trust the Fed," are laying in the federal funds rate at 4.25% at the end of this year. As a consequence, the dollar index is down 0.64%. However, the stock market is already holding out against current rates with the S&P 500 down 1.65% yesterday. I believe the stock market will deepen the fall, and risk aversion will be stronger, even if the European Central Bank raises the rate by 0.50%. The stock market will naturally be followed by counter-dollar currencies.

This image is no longer relevant

This morning, the pair climbed above the MACD line on the 1D chart with the Marlin oscillator going upwards. Yesterday's momentum was quite strong, it might be enough for the price to reach the target level of 1.0990. A consolidation above the level might extend the rally to 1.1200.

To bring back the downward movement, the price should consolidate under the MACD line (1.0850). A confirmation of the reversal will be the price exit under yesterday's low, i.e. under the range of 1.0758/87.

This image is no longer relevant

On the four-hour chart, the price is growing vigorously, supported by the indicators. Yesterday's trading volumes were not high and encouraged caution. Until we see the first signs of a reversal, we are waiting for the euro to rise.

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
选择时间框架
5
分钟
15
分钟
30
分钟
1
小时
4
小时
1
1
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

推荐文章

2025年6月17日歐元/美元預測

週一,歐元兌美元 (EUR/USD) 貨幣對持續上行,並在 100.0% 回調位 1.1574 之上盤整,但之後未能繼續上升。如果收盤低於 1.1574 水準,將可能下跌至 76.4% 回調位 1.1454。

Samir Klishi 12:00 2025-06-17 UTC+2

外匯預測 2025/06/17:EUR/USD、USD/JPY、NZD/USD、SP500 和比特幣

實用連結: 我的其他文章可在此部分查看 InstaForex 初學者課程 熱門分析 開設交易帳戶 重要提示: 外匯交易初學者在決定進入市場時需要非常謹慎。在重要報告發布前,最好避免進入市場,以免因波動性增加而遭受劇烈市場波動。

Sebastian Seliga 10:46 2025-06-17 UTC+2

2025年6月17日 英鎊/美元匯率預測

在小時圖中,週一英鎊/美元組合再次攀升至1.3611–1.3633的阻力區,從該區反彈並回轉支撐美元。這並不是一個對美元有利的發展,因為目前很少有人相信美元會有強勁的反彈。

Samir Klishi 10:18 2025-06-17 UTC+2

2025年6月17日星期二,英鎊/日元跨貨幣對日內價格波動的技術分析

如果我們查看4小時圖,GBP/JPY交叉貨幣對顯示出看漲的偏向,這是由其價格走勢在上升的看漲通道中移動並高於WMA(21)所證實的,該均線也呈上升趨勢。然而,考慮到隨機震盪指標(Stochastic Oscillator)目前處於超買區域,這表明近期可能會有修正性走弱的潛力。

Arief Makmur 06:38 2025-06-17 UTC+2

2025年6月17日,星期二,黃金商品工具的日內價格走勢技術分析

在4小時圖中,黃金商品工具顯示出黃金價格走勢與隨機指標之間存在背離,這表明近期黃金有可能走弱,以測試3378.89的水平。如果成功突破並收盤於此水平之下,那麼黃金有可能繼續走弱回到3319.20-3295.12的區域作為其主要目標,並且如果弱勢的波動性和動量支持,則3181.31有潛力成為下一個目標。

Arief Makmur 06:38 2025-06-17 UTC+2

2025年6月17日 歐元/美元匯率預測

儘管面臨地緣政治風險,歐元仍展現出強勁的韌性,但這並不是孤軍奮戰。歐元的強勢得到油價和股市技術性調整的支持,這一情況與2003年美伊戰爭初期所見的相關性相似。

Laurie Bailey 04:51 2025-06-17 UTC+2

2025年6月17日英鎊/美元匯率預測

英鎊在日線圖上逐漸被MACD線和1.3635的阻力位壓縮。現在的關鍵問題是:未來幾天價格將向哪個方向突破? Marlin振盪指標測試其通道下邊界,增加了向上突破的可能性。

Laurie Bailey 04:48 2025-06-17 UTC+2

2025年6月17日澳元/美元預測

澳元已經連續八個交易日穩定在上升價格通道線0.6550附近。Marlin振盪指標則自5月28日以來一直穩定在零線之上。

Laurie Bailey 04:48 2025-06-17 UTC+2

XAU/USD 分析與預測

黃金目前保持日內損失。股市的整體樂觀情緒削弱了黃金的需求。

Irina Yanina 12:18 2025-06-16 UTC+2

2025年6月16日歐元/美元預測

週五,歐元/美元對逆轉至有利於美元並在1.1574的100.0%斐波那契回調水平以下盤整。這並非毫無緣由,接下來我們將進一步探討。

Samir Klishi 12:02 2025-06-16 UTC+2
现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.