empty
03.02.2023 03:24 PM
Gold: range breakout after NFPs

The price of Gold is trading in the green at 1,916 at the time of writing. Technically, the rate reached strong downside obstacles and now it has turned to the upside. After its massive drop, a rebound was natural.

Still, it remains to see how it will react after the US data publication. As you already know, the US is to release high-impact data which could bring sharp movements here in XAU/USD. Non-Farm Payrolls indicator is expected at 193K in January but below 223K in December. The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change came in worse than expected on Wednesday, so the NFP is expected to report poor data as well.

In addition, the Unemployment Rate, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Final Services PMI, and Average Hourly Earnings will be released as well, so the fundamentals should have a big impact.

XAU/USD Buyers Took The Lead Again!

This image is no longer relevant

Technically, the sell-off was stopped by 1,911 and by the lower median line (lml) as expected. You knew from my previous analysis that the rate could find strong demand around these levels and it could turn to the upside.

It has retested the downside obstacles and the S1 (1,909) registering a false breakdown with great separation on the h1 signaling strong upside pressure. In the short term, it has developed a range pattern, so a valid breakout from this minor formation could bring new opportunities.

XAU/USD Outlook!

A new lower low, a valid breakdown below 1,909 activates a deeper drop and brings a bearish signal.

A new higher high, a valid breakout above 1,919 activates further growth and represents a buying opportunity.

Ralph Shedler,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

How to Trade the GBP/USD Pair on May 20? Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners

Analysis of Monday's Trades 1H Chart of GBP/USD Throughout Monday, the GBP/USD pair continued its upward movement, and at first glance, it might seem that a new uptrend is forming

Paolo Greco 05:40 2025-05-20 UTC+2

How to Trade the EUR/USD Pair on May 20? Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners

Analysis of Monday's Trades 1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair surged upward on Monday with renewed strength. But what justified this move, given that Monday's macroeconomic and fundamental

Paolo Greco 05:40 2025-05-20 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations and Analysis for GBP/USD on May 20: The Pound Keeps Seizing Every Opportunity

The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Monday, which began last week. The price successfully broke through both Ichimoku indicator lines, so from a technical standpoint, the trend

Paolo Greco 04:09 2025-05-20 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations and Analysis for EUR/USD on May 20: The Dollar Is Looking for Reasons to Fall

The EUR/USD currency pair showed a relatively substantial rise on Monday. We believe there was no macroeconomic or fundamental justification for such a sharp depreciation of the U.S. dollar that

Paolo Greco 04:09 2025-05-20 UTC+2

How to Trade the EUR/USD Pair on May 19? Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners

Analysis of Friday's Trades 1H Chart of EUR/USD On Friday, the EUR/USD currency pair declined significantly in price, despite no macroeconomic or fundamental reasons. However, the downward trend

Paolo Greco 08:19 2025-05-19 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations and Analysis for GBP/USD on May 19: The Pound Feels Comfortable in a Flat Market

On Friday, the GBP/USD currency pair mainly traded downward throughout the day but closed with only a minor decline. This was mostly because the dollar weakened during the Asian session

Paolo Greco 04:42 2025-05-19 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations and Analysis for EUR/USD on May 19: The Dollar Struggles to Grow, but Still Does

The EUR/USD currency pair showed a slight decline on Friday. Although the 5-minute chart might suggest the pair spent the entire day in a downtrend, the U.S. dollar gained only

Paolo Greco 04:42 2025-05-19 UTC+2

How to Trade the GBP/USD Pair on May 19? Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners

Analysis of Friday's Trades 1H Chart of GBP/USD On Friday, the GBP/USD pair also traded lower, although there were no objective reasons. While the euro maintains a downward trend

Paolo Greco 00:35 2025-05-19 UTC+2

How to Trade the GBP/USD Pair on May 16? Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners

Analysis of Thursday's Trades 1H Chart of GBP/USD On Thursday, the GBP/USD pair showed minimal upward movement; however, the 5-minute timeframe indicates this was largely a sideways move

Paolo Greco 06:17 2025-05-16 UTC+2

How to Trade the EUR/USD Pair on May 16? Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners

Analysis of Thursday's Trades 1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair traded in both directions throughout Thursday. The macroeconomic background was rich, but it had no decisive impact

Paolo Greco 06:17 2025-05-16 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.