empty
22.03.2023 11:26 AM
Janet Yellen's speech was to prepare markets for the Fed's monetary policy decisions

Yesterday's speech by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen was clearly to prepare markets and investors who are now in disarray for the decision of the Fed.

This image is no longer relevant

Yellen said the US government could take further drastic actions similar to what it recently did to protect bank deposits and depositors. "Our intervention was necessary to protect the US banking system," she said. "Similar action may be warranted if smaller institutions face similar deposit withdrawals and liquidity problems. We will do everything we can to prevent the risk of further contagion," she added.

Earlier this month, US authorities adopted measures that would boost depositor confidence following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. They guaranteed full repayment of insured and uninsured deposits of these two financial institutions. The Federal Reserve also launched a new lending support program and changed the rules of its emergency lending facility to help many banks cope with deposit outflows.

Yellen also mentioned that the current problems are markedly different from those seen during the global financial crisis in 2008. She said today's problem is unexplained raids on banks, and it is crucial that lenders have access to liquidity.

She also noted that the Fed was the key institution regulating the country's financial activities. Thus, the central bank's discount window and its new bank emergency financing program were working exactly as intended. "We believe the situation has improved and aggregate outflows from deposits have stabilized," Yellen said. "Officials will continue to monitor the situation", she added.

Yellen did not speculate on what regulatory changes might be needed if the situation in the banking sector worsened. She explained that their focus is on the current situation, thus, they will review the current regulatory and supervisory regimes and consider whether they are appropriate for the risks banks face today.

She also said that the government hoped to preserve the role of small and medium-sized banks within the larger financial system as they play an important role in the economy.

These statements clearly give an indication that the Fed will not be stopping its cycle of further interest rate hikes, not to mention the range could hit between 5.0% and 5.25%. Only then will the committee take a pause and watch things closely. A sharper rate hike is clearly not needed now as inflation continues to fall and the risk of exacerbating the banking sector crisis with it is only increasing.

In terms of the forex market, euro bulls still have all the chances to renew the March highs, but to do this they need to hold the quote above the support level of 1.0760. That will allow EUR/USD to rise beyond 1.0800 and head towards 1.0835 and 1.0875. In case of a decline, the pair will fall below 1.0760 and hit 1.0720 or 1.0690.

In GBP/USD, bulls are ready to keep storming the monthly highs, but they have to keep the quote above 1.2230 and breakthrough 1.2280. That will push the pair to 1.2330 and 1.2390. Should bears take control of 1.2230, a slide towards 1.2180 and 1.2130 is possible.

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Pavel Vlasov
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

What to Pay Attention to on August 20? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Only two macroeconomic releases are scheduled for Wednesday. The UK and the eurozone will publish consumer price indices for July. The European report is released in two estimates

Paolo Greco 07:26 2025-08-20 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – August 20: Just a Pause. Period

The EUR/USD currency pair on Tuesday (as in recent days) traded in an ultra-calm manner. On Monday, it declined, on Tuesday, it grew slightly, but overall, recent moves have taken

Paolo Greco 03:38 2025-08-20 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – August 20: Technicals and Nothing but Technicals

On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair continued its sluggish downward movement. In principle, there is no point discussing anything other than the technical picture right now. This week, apart from

Paolo Greco 03:38 2025-08-20 UTC+2

Yen Remains in Range

Japan's real GDP grew by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter (1.0% y/y) in the second quarter of 2025, exceeding Bloomberg's market forecast (+0.1% q/q, +0.4% y/y). This marked the fifth consecutive quarter

Kuvat Raharjo 00:58 2025-08-20 UTC+2

NZD/USD. RBNZ August Meeting: Preview

On Wednesday, August 20, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will conclude its latest meeting, where it may reduce the interest rate by 25 basis points—from 3.25% to 3.0%

Irina Manzenko 00:58 2025-08-20 UTC+2

Four Reasons to Sell the Dollar

The euro is set to strengthen against the U.S. dollar. The key question is when EUR/USD will be able to resume its upward trend. JP Morgan believes the main currency

Marek Petkovich 00:58 2025-08-20 UTC+2

EUR/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Uncertainty over a Bank of Japan rate hike and hopes for a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine undermine the yen. Today, Tuesday, for the second

Irina Yanina 19:50 2025-08-19 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Diverging expectations for Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve policy support the low-yielding yen, while hopes for a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine limit the safe-haven yen's advance

Irina Yanina 19:33 2025-08-19 UTC+2

Gold Prices Remain Nearly Unchanged

Gold prices were little changed as traders assessed U.S. efforts to end the military conflict in Ukraine while counting down to the Federal Reserve's annual meeting in Jackson Hole. Investors

Jakub Novak 10:57 2025-08-19 UTC+2

What Could Help the Pound Return to Growth

The British pound is losing ground even though money market expectations are rising that the Bank of England will keep interest rates at 4% until the end of the year

Jakub Novak 10:52 2025-08-19 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.