empty
04.02.2025 12:54 PM
EUR/GBP. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Since the start of the European session today, the EUR/GBP pair has been attempting to recover, finding support near the round level of 0.8300.

This image is no longer relevant

However, fundamental factors continue to support a bearish sentiment among traders, opening the door to further losses. The euro is showing weak performance amid concerns that the U.S. President Donald Trump might impose tariffs on goods from the European Union. This situation is further aggravated by the dovish stance of the European Central Bank (ECB), overshadowing the growth of the Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), which reached 2.5% year-on-year in January.

Last week, the ECB lowered borrowing costs by 25 basis points, as expected, and left the door open for further rate cuts by the end of the year. This exerts additional pressure on the euro and reinforces the short-term negative outlook for the EUR/GBP cross.

However, traders may hold back from opening aggressive positions, awaiting the Bank of England meeting scheduled for Thursday.

These factors suggest a continuation of the nearly two-week downward trend, implying that any recovery attempts could be viewed as selling opportunities and are likely to remain limited.

Nonetheless, traders might prefer to stay on the sidelines in the absence of significant macroeconomic data today and instead focus on upcoming central bank events.

From a technical standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in negative territory and is close to the oversold zone. As a result, a corrective rebound is possible in the short term, but any attempt at recovery should be viewed as an opportunity to sell.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

EUR/USD. Weekly Preview: U.S. Inflation, Retail Sales, ZEW Indices, and China's GDP

The upcoming trading week will be marked by U.S. inflation data. Reports on CPI and PPI growth will be released, along with the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. However

Irina Manzenko 00:41 2025-07-14 UTC+2

U.S. Dollar. Weekly Preview

In the upcoming week in the U.S., reports on inflation and industrial production will be released, along with a few other moderately interesting indicators. The most important one is undoubtedly

Chin Zhao 00:41 2025-07-14 UTC+2

British Pound. Weekly Preview

Over the past two weeks, the pound has declined more than the euro, yet the wave patterns of both instruments are almost identical. Accordingly, a three-wave corrective structure should also

Chin Zhao 00:41 2025-07-14 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Earlier, U.S. President Donald Trump imposed 25% tariffs on all Japanese exports to the United States, which will take effect on August 1. This move exacerbates Japan's economic challenges, which

Irina Yanina 14:21 2025-07-11 UTC+2

Market fears nothing

The S&P 500 reached another all-time high, with rotation being the hallmark of the US equity market. Investors are aggressively buying up stocks that underperformed in the first half

Marek Petkovich 10:50 2025-07-11 UTC+2

What to Watch for on July 11th? A Fundamental Overview for Beginners

There are very few macroeconomic publications scheduled for Friday, but the volume is still greater than on any previous day this week. The UK will release GDP and industrial production

Paolo Greco 08:50 2025-07-11 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview on July 11, 2025

The GBP/USD currency pair failed to consolidate above the moving average on Thursday, so the correction continues for now. Throughout Thursday, the GBP/USD pair was unable to hold above

Paolo Greco 07:15 2025-07-11 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview on July 11, 2025

The EUR/USD currency pair spent Thursday calmly drifting lower. We continue to wait for the current correction to end and for the uptrend to resume. To be fair, this correction

Paolo Greco 07:08 2025-07-11 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold prices are maintaining positive momentum for the second consecutive day. Ongoing uncertainty surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump's trade policy and its impact on the global economy continues to weigh

Irina Yanina 19:24 2025-07-10 UTC+2

USD/CHF. Analysis and Forecast

Today, the USD/CHF pair retraced part of its decline from a new weekly low recorded during the Asian session and has temporarily paused its downward movement, stopping short

Irina Yanina 12:26 2025-07-10 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.