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26.03.2023 10:42 PM
Technical analysis of GBP/USD for March 26, 2023

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Overview:

The GBP/USD pair broke resistance at 1.2135 which turned into strong support yesterday. This level coincides with 38.2% of Fibonacci retracement which is expected to act as major support today. Equally important, the RSI is still signaling that the trend is upward, while the moving average (100) is headed to the upside. Accordingly, the bullish outlook remains the same as long as the EMA 100 is pointing to the uptrend. This suggests that the pair will probably go above the daily pivot point (1.2135) in the coming hours. The GBP/USD pair will demonstrate strength following a breakout of the high at 1.2170. Consequently, the market is likely to show signs of a bullish trend. In other words, buy orders are recommended above 1.2135 with the first target at 1.2199. Then, the pair is likely to begin an ascending movement to 1.2135 mark and further to 1.2199 levels. The level of 1.2199 will act as strong resistance, and the double top is already set at 1.2199. On the other hand, the daily strong support is seen at 1.2135. If the GBP/USD pair is able to break out the level of 1.2135, the market will decline further to 1.2090 (daily support 2).

All elements being clearly bullish, it would be possible for traders to trade only long positions on the GBP/USD pair as long as the price remains well above the golden ratio of 1.2068. The buyers' bullish objective is set at 1.2209. The price is likely to form a double top in the same time frame. Accordingly, the GBP/USD pair is showing signs of strength following a breakout of the highest level of 1.2209. So, buy above the level of 1.2068 with the first target at 1.2209 in order to test the daily resistance 1. The level of 1.2209 is a good place to take profits.

Moreover, the RSI is still signaling that the trend is upward as it remains strong above the moving average (100). This suggests that the pair will probably go up in coming hours. A bullish break in this resistance would boost the bullish momentum. Other outlook for the GBP/USD pair : Pound Sterling is currently trading at 1.2150. If the trend reverses from this point, then a possible future share price target could be 1.2209. If the price of Pound Sterling is trading above 1.2150 then possibility of upside targets getting achieved is higher around the level of 1.2150.

The basic bullish trend is very strong on the GBP/USD pair, but the short term shows some signs of running out of steam. Nevertheless, a purchase could be considered as long as the price remains above 1.2150. Crossing the first resistance at 1.2209 would be a sign of a potential new surge in the price. Buyers would then use the next resistance located at 1.2270 as an objective. Crossing it would then enable buyers to target 1.2270. Caution, a return to below 1.2270 would be a sign of a consolidation phase in the short-term basic trend.

If this is the case, remember that trading against the trend may be riskier. It would seem more appropriate to wait for a signal indicating reversal of the trend. In the very short term, the general bullish sentiment is not called into question, despite technical indicators being indecisive. All elements being clearly bullish market, it would be possible for traders to trade only long positions on the GBP/USD pair as long as the price remains well above the price of 1.2068. The GBP/USD pair will continue rising from the level of 1.2068 in the long term. It should be noted that the support is established at the level of 1.2068 which represents the last bearish wave. The price is likely to form a double bottom in the same time frame. Accordingly, the GBP/USD pair is showing signs of strength following a breakout of the highest level of 1.2068.

So, buy above the level of 1.2068 with the first target at 1.2209 in order to test the daily resistance 1. The buyers' bullish objective is set at the level of 1.2270 (last bullish wave). A bullish break in this resistance would boost the bullish momentum. The buyers could then target the resistance located at 1.2270 . This suggests that the pair will probably go up in coming hours. If the trend is able to break the level of 1.2209 (double top), then the market will call for a strong bullish market towards the objective of 1.2270 this week. If there is any crossing, the next objective would be the resistance located at 1.2270. The level of 1.2270 is a good place to take profits. Moreover, the RSI is still signaling that the trend is upward as it remains strong above the moving average (100).

Since the trend is above the 61.8% Fibonacci level (1.2068), it means the market is still in a uptrend. From this point, the GBP/USD pair is continuing in a bullish trend from the new support of 1.2068. This is shown to us as the current price is in a bullish channel. According to the previous events, we expect that the GBP/USD pair will move between 1.2068 and 1.2270 in coming hours. It is also should be noted, beware of bullish excesses that could lead to a possible short-term correction; but this possible correction would not be tradeable. On the other hand, in case a reversal takes place and the GBP/USD pair breaks through the support level of 1.2068, a further decline to 1.1981 can occur. It would indicate a bearish market.

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